Game Result Predictions
Friday, March 23
Friday, March 23
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Dartmouth (16-22-1) | 2 | 5 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 3 | +5.5 | 22% | ✔ | |
Cal Poly (30-27) | 11 | 8 | -3.0 | 61% | 8 | -5.5 | 78% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Dartmouth (16-22-1) | 3 | 5 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 3 | +5.5 | 22% | ✔ | |
Cal Poly (30-27) | 10 | 8 | -3.0 | 61% | 8 | -5.5 | 78% |
Friday, March 23 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 100%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 100%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 100%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 100%
Overall Results (851 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 70%.